MARKETING GRAIN

MARKETING PLAN

Grain pricing can be unpredictable, making it important to start early, make a plan, and stick to it. Here’s an overview of how you can create a plan that’s right for you.

  1. Review future market outlooks and determine a price range for your grain.
  2. Calculate your cost of production.
  3. Determine your breakeven price.
  4. Set your target price based on your cash flow needs and storage and movement costs.

Why Contract

By reserving space at your local elevator for your grain, you’re ensuring movement when the price is acceptable. Worldwide grain supply and demand determines the price of grain throughout the year and grain contracts separate price from supply and demand by setting prices in advance of delivery.

If you sign a GPO contract, you can sit back and wait until it’s triggered. No daily monitoring or calling around to local elevators. The benefit of our Fixed, Basis, and GPO contracts are that they allow you to take advantage of different market cycles to help you optimize your pricing and minimize your risk.

Helpful Tip

When markets rise, it may be tempting to hold onto your grain and wait for higher prices. By scaling your targets (i.e. 25% of your crop towards target 1, 20% of your crop towards target 2, etc.), you’ll be able to take advantage of market fluctuations while still profiting when certain benchmarks are hit.

Grain Market Decision Tree

Bearish 

(Expects futures to decline)

Unsure

 

Bullish 

(Expects future to increase) 

BASIS OR PRICING SITUATION  Narrow  Wide  Narrow  Wide  Narrow  Wide 
STRATEGY  Spot Price  Spot Price  Lock in Basis &/or Fixed Price Contract  Fixed Price Contract &/or GPO  Lock in Basis  Multiple Fixed price contracts 
OPTIONS/
CONTRACTS 
Fixed Price or GPO  Fixed Price  Split between a Fixed price contract &/or GPO (multiple Fixed price contracts &/or GPOs)  Split between a Fixed price contract &/or GPO (multiple Fixed price contracts &/or GPOs)  GPO Futures contract. Split between Basis contract and GPOs.  Multiple priced GPO contracts 
SUGGESTIONS  In either case of narrow or wide basis a bear is better to sell. 
 
Look at selling small amounts to enhance marketing plans and ensure movement. Entering GPOs slightly above markets in small increments.   In all cases the seller should have multiple priced contracts to take advantage of the market rally. 

Needs Timely Movement
(Cash flow, storage risk, seeding, etc.)

Price acceptable

Price not acceptable

Narrow  Wide 
Fixed price contract  Lock in Basis  Fixed price contract 
Move grain  Move grain  Move grain & take market position   

 

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